What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

McLaren

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (187d) 24h volume 4.1K Open interest 155.6K Event F1 Constructors Champion

implied YES probability

Last 54 days · High 21% · Low 2% · 7d +50.0pp · 30d -84.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.