What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Mercedes AMG Motorsport

Closes Dec 21, 2026 (187d) 24h volume 5.9K Open interest 174.4K Event F1 Constructors Champion

82%

implied YES probability

Last 62 days · High 89% · Low 62% · 7d -3.5pp · 30d +18.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.