What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Kyle Diamantas

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 136 Open interest 2.1K Event Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

38%

implied YES probability

-8.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 98% · Low 16% · 7d +87.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.