What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 16 million

Closes Jul 23, 2026 (36d) 24h volume 79 Open interest 441 Event FedEx avg daily package volume in Q4

96%

implied YES probability

Last 12 days · High 99% · Low 92% · 7d -4.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.