What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.00%

Closes Oct 28, 2026 (133d) 24h volume 21 Open interest 434 Event Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

15%

implied YES probability

+16.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 48% · Low 3% · 7d -9.5pp · 30d +58.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.