What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.00%

Closes Sep 16, 2026 (91d) 24h volume 25 Open interest 1.9K Event Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 38 days · High 71% · Low 3% · 7d -62.5pp · 30d -79.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.