What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 28, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.00%

Closes Apr 28, 2027 (292d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 1.8K Event Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?

18%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 81 days · High 80% · Low 3% · 7d -62.2pp · 30d -67.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.