What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Federal Funds Rate Decision: No change, Dissents: >0

Closes Jul 29, 2026 (19d) 24h volume 593 Open interest 2.1K Event July 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

42%

implied YES probability

Last 15 days · High 46% · Low 6% · 7d +2.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.