What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Fed maintains rate

Closes Jul 29, 2026 (42d) 24h volume 94.4K Open interest 453.4K Event Fed decision in Jul 2026?

90%

implied YES probability

Last 83 days · High 93% · Low 61% · 7d +3.3pp · 30d +2.2pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 90.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.