What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Productivity

Closes Jul 30, 2026 (20d) 24h volume 112 Open interest 185 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?

80%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 76% · Low 76%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.