What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

2008 / Financial Crisis

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 276 Open interest 302 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

32%

implied YES probability

+16.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 37% · Low 22%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.