What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Probability

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 155 Open interest 313 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

36%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 52% · Low 31% · 7d -24.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.