What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Recession

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 153 Open interest 330 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

30%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 57% · Low 31% · 7d -20.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.