What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Tariff Inflation

Closes Jun 18, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 32 Open interest 118 Event What will Kevin Warsh say during his June press conference?

26%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 44% · Low 30% · 7d -6.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.