What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 47%, implying a 47% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 25, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Train / Trained / Training

Closes Jul 25, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 116 Open interest 179 Event What will the announcers say during Luke Riley vs Kai Kamaka III Fight

47%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 56% · Low 47%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.