What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Freedom250’s July 4, 2026 fireworks display is certified or recognized by Guinness World Records as a world record before Jan 1, 2027?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 306 Open interest 306 Event Will Freedom250’s fireworks display be certified as a Guinness World Record in 2026?

78%

implied YES probability

+78.0pp 24h

Price history

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Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Freedom250’s July 4, 2026 fireworks display is certified or recognized by Guinness World Records as a world record before Jan 1, 2027?

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