What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Dolly

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (167d) 24h volume 9 Open interest 1.2K Event What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

16%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 44% · Low 8% · 7d -11.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.