What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Aaron Baker

Closes Aug 18, 2027 (404d) 24h volume 150 Open interest 14.0K Event FL-06 Republican nominee?

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 38 days · High 12% · Low 1% · 7d -50.0pp · 30d -80.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.