What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Closes Jul 29, 2026 (19d) 24h volume 41 Open interest 468 Event How many dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting?

26%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 27% · Low 19% · 7d +8.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.