What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 17%, implying a 17% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before August

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 26 Open interest 1.8K Event When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

17%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 33% · Low 16% · 7d -35.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.