What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before September

Closes Sep 01, 2026 (53d) 24h volume 60 Open interest 1.9K Event When will AI solve another Frontier Math Problem?

40%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 58% · Low 21% · 7d -26.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.