What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 04, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Ending Jun 4, 2029

Closes Jun 04, 2029 (1083d) 24h volume 80 Open interest 5.7K Event Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

86%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 93% · Low 84% · 7d -9.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.