What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2045. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Emmanuel Macron

Closes Jan 01, 2045 (6773d) 24h volume 500 Open interest 6.1K Event Which G7 leader will leave next?

18%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 49 days · High 45% · Low 8% · 7d +38.5pp · 30d -58.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.