What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Nov 3, 2026

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 1.8K Event Ruben Gallego out as Senator?

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 60% · Low 8% · 7d -42.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.