What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 3.5%

Closes Jul 30, 2026 (43d) 24h volume 4 Open interest 3.1K Event US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

20%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 28% · Low 13% · 7d -20.0pp · 30d +14.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.