What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 28, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

3.1% to 3.5%

Closes Feb 28, 2027 (233d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 21.4K Event US real GDP growth in 2026?

4%

implied YES probability

Last 41 days · High 5% · Low 2% · 7d -12.0pp · 30d -4.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.