What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 196750

Closes Oct 31, 2026 (113d) 24h volume 20 Open interest 255 Event Google headcount in Q2

44%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 55% · Low 34% · 7d +13.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.