What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

At least 50 billion

Closes Mar 31, 2027 (264d) 24h volume 312 Open interest 6.1K Event How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

implied YES probability

Last 61 days · High 13% · Low 4% · 7d +16.7pp · 30d -8.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.