What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 37%, implying a 37% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

At least $500 billion

Closes Apr 01, 2027 (265d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 1.4K Event Government spending increase in 2026

37%

implied YES probability

-14.8pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 65% · Low 32% · 7d -48.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.