What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before January 20, 2029

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 787 Open interest 341.2K Event Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

22%

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 31% · Low 19% · 7d -4.3pp · 30d -15.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.