What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 22, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

$1.2 trillion or more

Closes Jan 22, 2029 (927d) 24h volume 43 Open interest 56.8K Event How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

implied YES probability

+0.8pp 24h

Last 40 days · High 2% · Low 1% · 7d +63.6pp · 30d +20.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.