What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2029

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 29 Open interest 16.8K Event Will Trump expand the H1-B program?

20%

implied YES probability

Last 32 days · High 32% · Low 16% · 7d -20.0pp · 30d -48.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.