kalshi Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?

Above 90
Closes Jan 05, 2027 (179d) 24h volume 1.9K Open interest 1.9K Event How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
50%
implied YES probability
+53.0pp 24h

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