What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democratic party

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 25 Open interest 225 Event AZ-05 House winner?

18%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 19% · Low 12%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.