What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 82%, implying a 82% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Republican party

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 1.8K Open interest 1.6K Event AZ-05 House winner?

82%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 87% · Low 80% · 7d +3.7pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.