What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 4

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (144d) 24h volume 23 Open interest 91 Event How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

36%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 41% · Low 15% · 7d +28.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.