What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 5

Closes Dec 01, 2026 (144d) 24h volume — Open interest 108 Event How many Central Pacific hurricanes will there be this year?

20%

implied YES probability

Last 11 days · High 50% · Low 4% · 7d +185.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.