What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jan 20, 2029

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 1.2K Open interest 124.1K Event Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

64%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 72% · Low 60% · 7d -1.5pp · 30d +3.2pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 62.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.