What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

9,000 or above

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 21.0K Event How high will the S&P get this year?

implied YES probability

+1.6pp 24h

Last 49 days · High 18% · Low 1% · 7d -43.5pp · 30d +24.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.