How high will the S&P get this year?
50/50 line32%8,000 or above
Line nearest 50/50
32%
Runner-up
14%
Biggest 24h move-16 pts
32%
24h volume
$16K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
Where the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- 8,400 or aboveYES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- 8,200 or aboveYES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- 8,000 or aboveYES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8,000 or above | YES | 46¢ | $1K | |
| 8,200 or above | NO | 83¢ | $2K | |
| 8,400 or above | NO | 94¢ | $3K |
All outcomes
5| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8,000 or above | 32% | -15.8 | $11K | $150K |
| 8,200 or above | 14% | -4.9 | $2K | $90K |
| 8,600 or above | 6% | +2.9 | $188 | $38K |
| 8,400 or above | 6% | -4.7 | $2K | $47K |
| 8,800 or above | 3% | — | $39 | $35K |