What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jul 15, 2026

Closes Jul 15, 2026 (5d) 24h volume 40 Open interest 2.1K Event Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 92% · Low 4% · 7d -66.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.