What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jun 30, 2026

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 83 Open interest 10.2K Event Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?

11%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 33 days · High 62% · Low 10% · 7d -45.5pp · 30d -75.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.