What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Aug 1, 2026

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (44d) 24h volume 300 Open interest 600 Event When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be announced?

44%

implied YES probability

-28.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 70% · Low 42%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.