What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

In 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 14.9K Open interest 153.2K Event Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

13%

implied YES probability

+2.9pp 24h

Last 89 days · High 25% · Low 7% · 7d +58.0pp · 30d +21.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.