What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Mitch McConnell

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 1.8K Open interest 12.6K Event Who will leave Congress before July?

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 37 days · High 14% · Low 1% · 7d +200.0pp · 30d -33.3pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.