What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Nov 3, 2026

Closes Nov 04, 2026 (140d) 24h volume 79 Open interest 4.0K Event Will Cory Mills leave the House?

40%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 69% · Low 14% · 7d -30.0pp · 30d +180.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.