What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Aug 1, 2026

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (44d) 24h volume 723 Open interest 64.8K Event Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

13%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 69% · Low 7% · 7d +42.9pp · 30d -41.7pp

Spread 6.0¢ · Mid 59.0¢

POWL Powell Industries Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.