What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Sep 1, 2026

Closes Sep 01, 2026 (75d) 24h volume 414 Open interest 27.9K Event Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?

22%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 83 days · High 57% · Low 22% · 7d -12.0pp · 30d -26.7pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.