What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 59%, implying a 59% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before 2028

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 22 Open interest 5.9K Event Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?

59%

implied YES probability

-8.0pp 24h

Last 38 days · High 65% · Low 55% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -12.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.