kalshi
Elections
Will Labour win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Labour
86%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 34 days ·
High 89% ·
Low 59%
· 7d -2.3pp
· 30d +28.8pp
Other outcomes in this event
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.0¢ | 11034 | 83.0¢ | 3472 | |
| 81.0¢ | 1935 | 84.0¢ | 2503 | |
| 79.0¢ | 107 | 85.0¢ | 170 | |
| 78.0¢ | 600 | 90.0¢ | 5 | |
| 77.0¢ | 1 | 93.0¢ | 5 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 82.5¢
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.